2047

mai22

Hong Kong’s ‘one country, two systems’ principle will not change after 2047, senior Beijing legal official says in latest assurance from nation’s top legislative body. Shen Chunyao, chairman of Legislative Affairs Commission of National People’s Congress Standing Committee, renews Beijing’s pledge at forum on Basic Law.
One country, two systems policy was a well-considered, long-term ‘best solution’ to resolve historical issues involving Hong Kong, he tells forum
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3179376/hong-kongs-one-country-two-systems-principle-will-not

mar22

It is not necessary to change the one country, two systems principle 50 years after the handover as long as it continues to run smoothly, says Xia Baolong, the top Beijing official overseeing Hong Kong affairs.

The director of Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office also said yesterday that Beijing has not blamed Hong Kong for the ongoing fifth wave of Covid.

Thomas So Shiu-chung, a deputy to the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, said Xia told the Hong Kong delegation to the two sessions that one country, two systems has been successfully running since the handover.

"Patriots ruling Hong Kong" is the key to the "correct implementation of one country, two systems," Thomas quoted Xia as saying. 
https://www.thestandard.com.hk/section-news/section/11/239663/%27One-country%27-backing-beyond-2047



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"Given that one country, two systems is going on the right track, it is unnecessary to change it after 50 years."

Xia added that Beijing did not deploy its army or armed police force to Hong Kong during the 2019 "black-clad riots," but instead allowed the city to use its own resources - showing that Beijing is following the principle.

Hong Kong has been "back on the right track" after the implementation of the national security law in June 2020 and the overhaul in the electoral system in May last year ensuring a patriots-only legislature, Xia said.

nov21


How is Hong Kong strategising for 2047?. https://www.thedailystar.net/views/opinion/news/how-hong-kong-strategising-2047-2225046



From 1998, one year after the transfer of sovereignty, some Hong Kong-born emigrants returned to Hong Kong with foreign citizenship. The phenomenon is called "香港回流潮" (Hong-Kong returning tidal flow).

In 2011, the estimated migration rate reach the peak. In Hong Kong, over 65 percent of Hong Kong permanent residents desired to migrate to others countries, in accordance with the questionnaires originated from Chinese University of Hong Kong.

Following the implementation of a new security law on July 1, 2020, one prominent activist fled Hong Kong and sparked speculation that a large wave of emigration was imminent. Said security law has been interpreted by some as a means to persecute individuals for participating in protests. A number of nations have moved to expedite the immigration process and/or grant refugee status to many Hong Kong emigrants, including Australia, Canada, Taiwan, the United Kingdom (which has announced that they will grant UK citizenship to a maximum total of 3 million immigrants from Hong Kong), and the United States.[3] WKP https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waves_of_mass_migrations_from_Hong_Kong

Since Beijing introduced the law in May, thousands of Hong Kongers have applied for foreign immigration documents; immigration consultants in Hong Kong report that caseloads have doubled since the legislation's proposal.

Hong Kong is especially ripe for a mass exodus given its sizable population of dual passport holders. In the city of 7.5 million, for instance, 90% of the city's 300,000 Canadian passport holders are estimated to also hold dual Hong Kong and Canadian passports.

As some Hong Kongers consider leaving, a growing number of countries are preparing to receive them. Since the law's introduction, at least five nations have taken steps to welcome individuals and families departing Hong Kong. Nearly all the measures are framed as acts of goodwill, but most of the countries coming forward are also at odds with China's central government. Offering refuge may benefit Hong Kongers, but it's also another means of dealing a blow to Beijing.

japan, tawain, australia, us GB

https://fortune.com/2020/07/03/hong-kong-emigrant-china-law-refugee-status/

Hong Kong residents leave, if they can

Some 50,000 people emigrated in the last two quarters of 2019, a time of protests and escalating violence. In December, 20,000 people applied to the Hong Kong police for a Certificate of No Criminal Conviction, which is a mandatory document for anybody hoping to emigrate. This was a 60% increase over the same period in the previous year. https://www.dw.com/en/hong-kong-residents-emigrate/a-53607894


O futuro de HK é fora de HK?
emigração?
Ninguem sabe responder.
muitos esperam para ver
mas existem movimentações



19/7/

Australia wants to attract ‘seriously talented’ people leaving Hong Kong, minister says. Australia is “specifically targeting” students and highly talented individuals from Hong Kong who will be able to contribute to its economy, a minister told CNBC this week. Canberra announced last week that it would be offering help to people wanting to move out of Hong Kong after the implementation of the new national security law on June 30. Australia’s decision followed that of Taiwan and the United Kingdom, which also offered help to Hong Kongers looking to resettle elsewhere. “Australia is an immigrant nation and we’re constantly chasing talent from around the world,” Australian minister for population, cities and urban infrastructure, Alan Tudge, told CNBC’s “Capital Connection” on Tuesday.



The short-term future for Hong Kong is bleak and many people are prepared to emigrate. But the political struggle will continue and the pro-democracy movement will try to minimise the cost of this struggle in the ‘one country, two systems’ context, denying the HKSAR government its legitimacy. Apparently, Chinese authorities still hope to maintain the functioning of Hong Kong as an international financial centre, but without respect for the rule of law and human rights.
Joseph Yu Shek Cheng is a retired professor of political science based in Hong Kong. https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2020/06/24/the-end-of-one-country-two-systems/

jul20
O activista Jason Chao acredita que Pequim já não precisa que Hong Kong e Macau provem que o princípio ‘Um País, Dois Sistemas’ funciona, no âmbito da estratégia de unificação do país, mas a situação terá consequências ao nível das liberdades.  “Acreditamos que a erosão de direitos e liberdades vai não só continuar, mas também ser acelerada, porque a China já não precisa de Hong Kong e Macau para promover o princípio ‘Um País, Dois Sistemas’. Portanto, é muito provável que as autoridades de Macau incorporem na legislação local alguns elementos da lei de segurança nacional de Hong Kong,” disse Jason Chao, em declarações à Rádio Macau https://pontofinalmacau.wordpress.com/2020/07/08/pequim-nao-precisa-de-hong-kong-e-macau-para-promover-um-pais-dois-sistemas-diz-jason-chao/

jun20

Last month the Chinese government unexpectedly unveiled plans to authorize the the National People’s Congress Standing Committee to draft national security legislation that would be imposed on Hong Kong, short-circuiting the city’s own lawmaking process. The forthcoming legislation is expected to criminalize “separatism,” “subversion of state power,” “terrorist activities,” and foreign interference—the very restraints that Hong Kongers have been protesting against for a year. It would also allow mainland China’s domestic security services to operate openly in Hong Kong for the first time. This could facilitate increased surveillance, intimidation, and possibly even rendition of Beijing’s critics in a city that has long enjoyed significantly greater freedom of expression and civil liberties than the rest of Chinahttps://foreignpolicy.com/2020/06/24/freedom-disappearing-hong-kong-china-national-security-law/



Finally, if Beijing continues its rapid assimilation plans to fully erode Hong Kong autonomy, what is Hong Kongers’ backup plan to preserve our own unique cultural identity? Ideas about rebuilding Hong Kong as an independent city-state elsewhere, away from China, have been conceived as early as in the 1980s. But in the era of the digital revolution, the new “Hong Kong” may not be confined to a singular geographical location.A universal Hong Konger identity among the overseas pro-democracy Hong Kongers has been developing since the protests. This identity can serve as a force attracting all Hong Kongers in the world and building a virtual city whose citizens have no geographic barriers, pursue any livelihood they desire, and connect to the YEC through the internetDr. Simon Shen is the Founding Chairman of GLOs (Glocal Learning Offices), an international relations start-up company. He also serves as an adjunct associate professor in the University of Hong Kong, Chinese University of Hong Kong and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, and associate director of the Master of Global Political Economy Programme of the CUHK. https://thediplomat.com/2020/05/how-the-yellow-economic-circle-can-revolutionize-hong-kong/


9/7
Unrest in Hong Kong sees pro-democracy protester seeking asylum in Australia  https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-06-17/hong-kong-democracy-protester-seeks-political-asylum-australia/12356464

25/6

Zhang’s message was also a rarity in that he placed Hong Kong’s fate squarely within the 50-year time frame due to expire in 2047. The Basic Law’s Article 5, says only that China’s “socialist system and policies shall not be practiced” in Hong Kong and the “previous capitalist system and way of life shall remain unchanged for 50 years.” This inspired the popular “50 years without change” slogan that helped ease Hong Kong across the colonial finish line in 1997. But that promise has remained curiously unquestioned by everyone and unexplained by Beijing–until now. Zhang is now saying the 50-year promise does have an actual cut-off date after all, and the midway point is fast approaching.  He phrased a question: how will Hong Kong be able to present itself to the nation in 2047, when the time comes for the National People’s Congress to renew the 1997 mandate for a separate autonomous region? https://hongkongfp.com/2020/06/25/national-security-law-a-second-handover-for-hong-kong/

8/6
The new national security law for Hong Kong is meant to strengthen, not undermine, the “one country, two systems” principle and will ensure the freedoms granted to the city can be extended beyond 2047, a top Beijing official has said. Contrary to alarmist warnings of the opposition and foreign powers eager to demonise the central government, the new legislation would target “very few” people committing the four crimes of secession, subversion, terrorism and foreign intervention, said Zhang Xiaoming, deputy director of the Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office (HKMAO). https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3088031/deng-xiaoping-always-believed-mainland-could-step-if
~
6/6

“One Country, Two Systems” has been an elastic concept, stretching to accommodate different political opinions and futures for Hong Kong. People of divergent political stripes point to it as a vindication of whichever view they hold: a transition, a preparation for eventual convergence in 2047; or the status quo, a sanctuary of civil liberties. The National Security Law is not merely a legislative or legal matter; it goes to the heart of who gets to decide what “One Country, Two Systems” means. Beijing’s decision to intervene is an aggressive assertion that in the name of “One Country,” it can redefine “Two Systems.” What once worked by seeming to accommodate a spectrum of views now appears more like a fundamental contradiction. The space for different readings of what the coexistence of Hong Kong and mainland China means is contracting. https://www.nybooks.com/daily/2020/06/05/in-hong-kong-uncertainty-rules-as-beijing-asserts-control/

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